EdgeLedger
StandardsellCool1m

Delta Extremes Short

delta_extremes_sell

aof_delta_at_high ≤ 159 AND aof_delta_at_low ≤ −381

In-sample backtest — walk-forward audit pending before promotion.
Lifetime WR72.5%
Profit factor3.30
Sample (n)211
Last 30d WR59.9%-12.6pp vs lifetime
Risk profile

Risk 1R to make 1.5R

1:1.5R
EntryRTH close of signal barmarket or limit
Stop12pt (MNQ)risk unit (1R)
Target18pt (MNQ)1.5R payoff

Delta exhaustion fade — quick 15-20pt flush, stop above the high of the setup.

Backtest · all R:R combinations

Which stop / target combo works best?

R:R grid · 211 fires · 171K-bar backtest
Optimal: 120/30 · +$97.32 MNQ · PF 5.50
R:RTP/SLWRMNQ $NQ $PF
1:1 tight20/2064.0%+$11.35+$113.531.80
1:1 mid25/2564.0%+$14.67+$146.661.85
1:1 wide30/3071.6%+$26.07+$260.692.57
2:130/1544.5%+$10.09+$100.951.61
2:1 wide40/2048.8%+$16.24+$162.371.80
2:1 big50/2552.6%+$27.87+$278.722.18
3:160/2042.2%+$25.78+$257.842.11
3:1 big75/2552.6%+$43.93+$439.292.85
3:1 huge90/3064.0%+$84.75+$847.494.92
4:1100/2552.1%+$72.03+$720.314.01
4:1 big120/3064.0%+$97.32+$973.185.50
6:1150/2552.1%+$93.49+$934.914.91

First-hit semantics · 10–120 bar hold (scales with TP) · MNQ = $2/pt, NQ = $20/pt · ★ = best $/trade

Last 30 days · expectancy trend13 fires · last fire 1d ago
Stub · wiring to outcomes feed
Replay · coming next

See this edge on a real chart.

Click any of the last 10 fires below to open a snapshot of the market at signal time — bars, VWAP, confluences annotated. You'll be able to scrub forward to see how it resolved. Wiring to the outcomes feed next.

Last 10 fires · click to replay

Demo · outcomes feed wiring
WhenEntryR-multOutcome

Click any row to open the replay — chart snapshot + confluences at signal fire. Stub data until outcomes feed wires up.