StandardbothCool15m

FVG First-Touch Retest

fvg_retest

first touch of a fresh 15m FVG zone (N1) + delta confirms + trend aligned

⚠ Honesty note: an earlier version of this page showed 69.5% WR. A 5-month re-audit on live bars measured 33.5% for that config — the claim was retracted and the edge re-scoped to the first-touch variant shown here.

Lifetime WR37.8%

Profit factor1.22

Sample (n)969

Last 30d WR28.3%-9.5pp vs lifetime

Risk profile

Risk 1R to make 2R

1:2R

EntryRTH close of signal barmarket or limit

Stop20pt (MNQ)risk unit (1R)

Target40pt (MNQ)2.0R payoff

First-touch-only variant — 4/4 walk-forward folds positive at +2.68pt/trade. SELL side carries most of the edge (+5.15pt vs +0.79 BUY).

Backtest · all R:R combinations

Which stop / target combo works best?

R:R grid not yet backtested for this signal

stateful trigger — requires standalone simulation

Last 30 days · expectancy trend60 fires · last fire 0d ago

Stub · wiring to outcomes feed

Replay · coming next

See this edge on a real chart.

Click any of the last 10 fires below to open a snapshot of the market at signal time — bars, VWAP, confluences annotated. You'll be able to scrub forward to see how it resolved. Wiring to the outcomes feed next.

Last 10 fires · click to replay

Demo · outcomes feed wiring

WhenEntryR-multOutcome

Click any row to open the replay — chart snapshot + confluences at signal fire. Stub data until outcomes feed wires up.