EdgeLedger
StandardbuyCool1m

NY Extension Fade Long

ny_regime_fade_long

transition into BELOW_ALL_3 (sVWAP + NY VWAP + prev-day NY VAL) during NY

Lifetime WR48.7%
Profit factor1.35
Sample (n)669
Last 30d WR38.9%-9.8pp vs lifetime
Risk profile

Risk 1R to make 1R

default R:R for this timeframe · curated per-edge values coming
1:1R
EntryRTH close of signal barmarket or limit
Stop6pt (MNQ)risk unit (1R)
Target6pt (MNQ)1.0R payoff
Backtest · all R:R combinations

Which stop / target combo works best?

R:R grid · 330 fires · 171K-bar backtest
Optimal: 25/25 · +$14.68 MNQ · PF 1.91
R:RTP/SLWRMNQ $NQ $PF
1:1 tight20/2066.7%+$13.51+$135.122.05
1:1 mid25/2564.5%+$14.68+$146.771.91
1:1 wide30/3057.6%+$10.99+$109.861.48
2:130/1548.2%+$12.58+$125.851.84
2:1 wide40/2044.9%+$13.11+$131.111.61
2:1 big50/2542.7%+$9.80+$98.031.35
3:160/2036.1%+$11.39+$113.861.45
3:1 big75/2535.1%+$7.32+$73.241.23
3:1 huge90/3033.0%+$4.29+$42.921.11
4:1100/2527.6%+$2.73+$27.261.08
4:1 big120/3030.9%+$5.05+$50.471.12
6:1150/2521.3%+$2.36+$23.601.06

First-hit semantics · 10–120 bar hold (scales with TP) · MNQ = $2/pt, NQ = $20/pt · ★ = best $/trade

Last 30 days · expectancy trend41 fires · last fire 5d ago
Stub · wiring to outcomes feed
Replay · coming next

See this edge on a real chart.

Click any of the last 10 fires below to open a snapshot of the market at signal time — bars, VWAP, confluences annotated. You'll be able to scrub forward to see how it resolved. Wiring to the outcomes feed next.

Last 10 fires · click to replay

Demo · outcomes feed wiring
WhenEntryR-multOutcome

Click any row to open the replay — chart snapshot + confluences at signal fire. Stub data until outcomes feed wires up.