StandardsellHot1m
NY Extension Fade Short
ny_regime_fade_shorttransition into ABOVE_ALL_3 (sVWAP + NY VWAP + prev-day NY VAH) during NY
Lifetime WR44.0%
Profit factor1.34
Sample (n)712
Last 30d WR49.0%+5.0pp vs lifetime
Risk profile
1:1RRisk 1R to make 1R
default R:R for this timeframe · curated per-edge values comingEntryRTH close of signal barmarket or limit
Stop6pt (MNQ)risk unit (1R)
Target6pt (MNQ)1.0R payoff
Backtest · all R:R combinations
Which stop / target combo works best?
R:R grid · 1,008 fires · 171K-bar backtest
Optimal: 150/25 · +$4.90 MNQ · PF 1.13
| R:R | TP/SL | WR | MNQ $ | NQ $ | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:1 tight | 20/20 | 52.1% | +$1.86 | +$18.56 | 1.10 |
| 1:1 mid | 25/25 | 50.9% | +$1.55 | +$15.51 | 1.07 |
| 1:1 wide | 30/30 | 49.0% | $-1.12 | $-11.25 | 0.96 |
| 2:1 | 30/15 | 36.6% | +$0.81 | +$8.13 | 1.04 |
| 2:1 wide | 40/20 | 36.3% | $-0.38 | $-3.80 | 0.98 |
| 2:1 big | 50/25 | 36.1% | $-1.52 | $-15.20 | 0.95 |
| 3:1 | 60/20 | 29.1% | $-1.25 | $-12.50 | 0.95 |
| 3:1 big | 75/25 | 31.2% | $-0.85 | $-8.52 | 0.97 |
| 3:1 huge | 90/30 | 31.4% | +$0.77 | +$7.73 | 1.02 |
| 4:1 | 100/25 | 27.5% | +$2.70 | +$26.97 | 1.08 |
| 4:1 big | 120/30 | 29.8% | +$2.69 | +$26.93 | 1.07 |
| 6:1★ | 150/25 | 24.3% | +$4.90 | +$49.01 | 1.13 |
Last 30 days · expectancy trend44 fires · last fire 2d ago
Stub · wiring to outcomes feedReplay · coming next
See this edge on a real chart.
Click any of the last 10 fires below to open a snapshot of the market at signal time — bars, VWAP, confluences annotated. You'll be able to scrub forward to see how it resolved. Wiring to the outcomes feed next.
Last 10 fires · click to replay
Demo · outcomes feed wiringWhenEntryR-multOutcome
Click any row to open the replay — chart snapshot + confluences at signal fire. Stub data until outcomes feed wires up.