EdgeLedger
PremiumbothQuiet1m

Exhaustion Fade (Signal A)

signal_a_exhaustion_fade

VP-level rejection + 1m FVG + exhaustion anti-confirms

Walk-forward survivor — test WR improved on train (43%→50%). Small held-out sample (n=24 of 147 total fires); live shadow validation is the primary confirmation path.
Lifetime WR50.0%
Profit factor1.82
Sample (n)24
Last 30d WR
Risk profile

Risk 1R to make 1.5R

default R:R for this timeframe · curated per-edge values coming
1:1.5R
EntryRTH close of signal barmarket or limit
Stop8pt (MNQ)risk unit (1R)
Target12pt (MNQ)1.5R payoff
Backtest · all R:R combinations

Which stop / target combo works best?

R:R grid not yet backtested for this signal

stateful trigger — requires standalone simulation

Last 30 days · expectancy trend2 fires · last fire 27d ago
Stub · wiring to outcomes feed
Replay · coming next

See this edge on a real chart.

Click any of the last 10 fires below to open a snapshot of the market at signal time — bars, VWAP, confluences annotated. You'll be able to scrub forward to see how it resolved. Wiring to the outcomes feed next.

Last 10 fires · click to replay

Demo · outcomes feed wiring
WhenEntryR-multOutcome

Click any row to open the replay — chart snapshot + confluences at signal fire. Stub data until outcomes feed wires up.